La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 65.67%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.48%65.69%65.63%67.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.4873.53%69.16%68.97%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 34.33%2.91momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.428%
Kelly +0.647%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.65%34.31%34.37%35.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.21%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.26%E +0.428%K +0.647%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Caesars | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.20%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.03%E -7.32%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.23%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 23:28 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.68%E -7.86%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |