La scuola delle quote

New York Liberty v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-05-29 23:32 UTC

Finale: New York Liberty 75–68 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Liberty (Casa)

Previsione 65.67%1.52quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.48%65.69%65.63%67.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.451.451.4873.53%69.16%68.97%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.33%2.91quota equa
EV +1.26%
Vantaggio +0.428%
Kelly +0.647%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.65%34.31%34.37%35.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.21%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.26%E +0.428%K +0.647%G +0.008%3.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 23:29
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:29
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 23:28
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.20%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:29
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 23:28
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 23:29
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:30
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 23:29
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:28
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.03%E -7.32%K -27.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 23:29
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -4.23%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 23:15
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 23:29
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:29
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:28
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 23:29
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 23:28
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:28
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:29
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:29
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.68%E -7.86%K -29.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 23:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-29 23:29
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-29 23:29
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.5%2026-05-29 23:29
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-29 23:29