Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 17:06 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 90–85 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 64.51%1.55fair odd
EV +0.638%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%64.29%64.40%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.471.5672.46%67.97%68.03%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 35.49%2.82fair odd
EV -0.632%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.71%35.60%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.02%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:02
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:01
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.007%E -0.005%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:01
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -0.652%E -0.424%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 16:59
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -9.15%E -3.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:04
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:02
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 17:04
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 17:02
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 17:03
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:03
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.05%E -5.33%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:03
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 17:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.66%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:05
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 17:04
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 17:04
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 17:05
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -0.632%E -0.226%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 17:04
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 17:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:04
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:05
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-11 17:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-07-11 17:05
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-11 17:05