The School of Odds

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

2026-07-11 17:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 58.40%1.71fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%58.40%58.33%59.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6764%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 41.60%2.40fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%41.60%41.67%42.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.3547%44%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 01:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.47%E -1.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 02:04
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 02:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 01:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 02:02
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.24%E -0.955%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.24%E -0.955%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 02:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 06:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 01:24
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 01:44
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 01:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 01:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:24
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:24
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:25
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 01:28
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 06:05
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 01:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.32%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 06:02
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 01:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 01:40
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 01:39
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 01:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-10 05:34
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%3.9%2026-07-10 06:29
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%5.0%2026-07-10 07:05