A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-07-11 17:06 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 90–85 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 64.51%1.55odd justa
EV +0.638%
Vantagem +0.409%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.58%64.29%64.40%66.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.471.471.5672.46%67.97%68.03%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 35.49%2.82odd justa
EV -0.632%
Vantagem -0.226%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.41%35.71%35.60%38.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.02%38.46%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:02
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:01
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.007%E -0.005%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:01
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -0.652%E -0.424%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 16:59
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -9.15%E -3.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:04
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:02
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 17:04
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 17:02
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 17:03
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:03
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.05%E -5.33%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:03
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 17:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.66%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:05
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 17:04
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 17:04
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 17:05
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -0.632%E -0.226%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 17:04
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 17:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:04
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:05
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-11 17:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-07-11 17:05
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-11 17:05