L’École des cotes

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 17:06 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Lynx 90–85 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prévision 64.51%1.55cote équitable
EV +0.638%
Avantage +0.409%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.58%64.29%64.40%66.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.471.5672.46%67.97%68.03%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.49%2.82cote équitable
EV -0.632%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.351%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%35.71%35.60%38.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.02%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:02
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:01
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.007%E -0.005%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 17:01
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -0.652%E -0.424%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 16:59
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -9.15%E -3.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:04
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:02
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 17:04
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 17:02
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:03
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 17:03
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:03
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.05%E -5.33%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:03
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 17:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.66%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:05
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 17:04
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 17:04
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 17:05
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -0.632%E -0.226%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 17:04
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 17:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:04
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 17:05
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 17:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-07-11 17:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-07-11 17:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-07-11 17:05
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-11 17:05