La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Predicción 64.51%1.55momio equitativo
EV +0.638%
Ventaja +0.409%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.58%64.29%64.40%66.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.471.5672.46%67.97%68.03%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 35.49%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.632%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.351%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.71%35.60%38.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.02%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 17:02 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +0.638%E +0.409%K +1.14%G +0.007% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 17:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -0.007%E -0.005%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 17:01 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -0.652%E -0.424%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -1.94%E -1.28%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -9.15%E -3.57%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 17:02 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -2.59%E -1.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 17:02 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.89%E -1.82%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.05%E -5.33%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.88%E -2.60%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.79%E -3.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 17:03 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.52%E -3.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.66%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.39%E -5.91%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -0.632%E -0.226%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.18%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.68%E -6.92%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.50%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -10.97%E -7.95%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -2.41%E -0.875%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 17:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |