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Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Prediction 82.45%1.21fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -9.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%82.68%82.19%84.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.48%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 17.55%5.70fair odd
EV +9.70%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.54%17.32%17.81%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.365.306.2521.28%18.65%18.87%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 82.45%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 17.55%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 16:48 |
| betano_uk | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 16:48 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV -2.59%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 16:08 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-15 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 15:25 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:09 |
| ReBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| betPARX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:43 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:45 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-15 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -1.89%E -1.59%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.00%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 16:19 |
| TAB | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.75%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 16:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -17.51%E -3.73%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.4% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.5% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |