The School of Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks

2026-07-15 17:10 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 85.21%1.17fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -13.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.41%85.15%85.30%88.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.121.1593%90%89%87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 14.79%6.76fair odd
EV +27.23%
Edge +3.17%
Kelly +3.58%
Growth +0.975%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.16%14.85%14.70%17.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.206.316.258.6019%16%16%12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -7.98%E -7.39%K -99.72%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +27.23%E +3.17%K +3.58%G +0.975%4.2%2026-07-14 03:30
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.882%E -0.132%K -0.155%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 04:25
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.73%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -2.36%E -0.358%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 07:42
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 03:14
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 03:15
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 04:30
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 03:27
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 03:34
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 04:30
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.84%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 03:15
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.72%E -3.29%K -28.59%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -6.80%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 03:45
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.54%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 07:49
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.54%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 07:49
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.54%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 04:29
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.54%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 04:29
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.54%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-14 04:25
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 03:15
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 03:15
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 03:15
TAB1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.57%E -4.08%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 06:04
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 03:20
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 04:23
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.24%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 04:29
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -18.63%E -3.39%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 04:24
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -23.07%E -4.44%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-14 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-07-14 05:24
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-07-14 06:47
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-14 05:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%3.2%2026-07-14 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%3.2%2026-07-14 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%3.2%2026-07-14 07:54
Arbitrage (1 combination) +1.44%Fliff 1.15 (88.2%) / 1xBet 8.60 (11.8%)Show details
Minnesota Lynx (Local)Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)Margin
Fliff 1.15 (88.2%)1xBet 8.60 (11.8%)+1.44%