A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 96–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 82.45%1.21odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -9.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.40%82.68%82.19%84.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.48%86.21%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 17.55%5.70odd justa
EV +9.70%
Vantagem +1.55%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescimento +0.179%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.54%17.32%17.81%19.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.705.365.306.2521.28%18.65%18.87%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179%3.0%2026-07-15 16:48
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179%3.0%2026-07-15 16:48
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV -2.59%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-15 16:55
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 17:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:14
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:24
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:50
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:44
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 16:55
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 16:08
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-15 16:54
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:09
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:43
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:54
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-15 14:09
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:44
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:20
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 16:50
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 16:45
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-15 16:39
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-15 16:50
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-15 16:04
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 16:40
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -1.89%E -1.59%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-15 16:44
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.00%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 16:19
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.75%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 16:24
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -17.51%E -3.73%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 17:00
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-15 16:55
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-07-15 16:59
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.5%2026-07-15 17:00
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-15 17:00