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Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Predicción 82.45%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -9.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.40%82.68%82.19%84.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.48%86.21%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 17.55%5.70momio equitativo
EV +9.70%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.85%
Crecimiento +0.179%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%17.32%17.81%19.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.365.306.2521.28%18.65%18.87%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 82.45%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 17.55%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.70. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 16:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV -2.59%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 16:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-15 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-15 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-15 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-15 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -1.89%E -1.59%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-15 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.00%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 16:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.75%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -17.51%E -3.73%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-15 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.4% | 2026-07-15 16:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.5% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-15 17:00 |