L’École des cotes

Minnesota Lynx v Los Angeles Sparks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Lynx 96–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prévision 82.45%1.21cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -9.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.40%82.68%82.19%84.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.48%86.21%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Sparks (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.55%5.70cote équitable
EV +9.70%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.179%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%17.32%17.81%19.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.365.306.2521.28%18.65%18.87%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179%3.0%2026-07-15 16:48
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +9.70%E +1.55%K +1.85%G +0.179%3.0%2026-07-15 16:48
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.31%E +0.885%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-07-15 16:59
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV -2.59%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-15 16:55
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.564%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 17:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:14
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:24
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 16:50
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:44
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.47%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 16:55
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 16:08
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.22%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-15 16:54
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:09
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:40
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:43
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:54
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-15 14:09
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:44
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:20
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 16:50
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 16:45
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-15 16:39
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-15 16:50
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-15 16:04
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 16:40
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -1.89%E -1.59%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-15 16:44
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.00%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 16:19
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.75%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 16:24
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -17.51%E -3.73%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 17:00
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-15 16:55
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-15 16:55
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-07-15 16:59
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.5%2026-07-15 17:00
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-15 17:00