The School of Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Seattle Storm

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 64–82 Seattle Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 61.27%1.63fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.838%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.34%61.49%63.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.6168%64%65%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.47%38.66%38.51%41.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.482.6344%41%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +1.85%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021%4.2%2026-07-07 01:45
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.559%K +0.903%G +0.013%4.4%2026-07-07 01:39
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.689%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%5.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.80%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 19:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 00:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 21:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:15
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 01:15
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 02:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:00
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.35%E -0.838%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 02:01
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 01:55
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.22%E -3.47%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 02:03
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 02:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.87%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05