A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-07 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 64–82 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 61.27%1.63odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.838%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.90%61.34%61.49%63.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.46%64.52%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 38.73%2.58odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.704%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.47%38.66%38.51%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.462.482.6344.44%40.65%40.32%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +1.85%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021%4.2%2026-07-07 01:45
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.559%K +0.903%G +0.013%4.4%2026-07-07 01:39
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.689%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%5.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.80%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 19:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 00:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 21:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:15
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 01:15
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 02:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:00
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.35%E -0.838%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 02:01
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 01:55
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.22%E -3.47%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 02:03
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 02:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.87%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 01:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05