L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Sparks v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 02:10 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Sparks 64–82 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prévision 61.27%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.838%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%61.34%61.49%63.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.46%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.73%2.58cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.47%38.66%38.51%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.482.6344.44%40.65%40.32%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +1.85%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021%4.2%2026-07-07 01:45
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.559%K +0.903%G +0.013%4.4%2026-07-07 01:39
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.689%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003%5.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 01:20
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 02:05
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.80%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 19:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 00:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 21:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 01:15
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 01:15
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:05
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 02:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 02:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:00
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.35%E -0.838%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 02:01
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 02:05
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 01:55
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.22%E -3.47%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 02:03
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 02:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.87%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 01:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-07-07 02:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%5.0%2026-07-07 02:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-07 02:05