La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Los Angeles Sparks v Seattle Storm
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 61.27%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.838%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.90%61.34%61.49%63.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.46%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Storm (Visitante)
Predicción 38.73%2.58momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.704%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.47%38.66%38.51%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.482.6344.44%40.65%40.32%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +1.85%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 01:45 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.48%E -4.95%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.46%E +0.559%K +0.903%G +0.013% | 4.4% | 2026-07-07 01:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.09%E -5.39%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.689%E +0.265%K +0.430%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 01:55 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 01:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.25%E -0.489%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.02%E -0.799%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.80%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 01:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 00:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 21:24 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 01:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 01:15 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 01:15 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-07 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 21:25 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.66%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| TAB | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.35%E -0.838%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 02:01 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.19%E -2.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.06%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.22%E -3.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.96%E -1.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 02:03 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.32%E -6.29%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.03%E -3.24%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.25%E -4.09%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-07 01:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.80%E -2.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.87%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-07 01:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |