The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever

2026-07-05 23:00 — WNBA

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Las Vegas Aces (Local)

1.5365.36%Min
1.6261.87%Mean
1.6162.11%Median
1.6759.88%Max
57.69%1.733Min
59.52%1.680Max
58.79%1.701Mean
58.72%1.703Median
58.74%1.702IQM
58.74%1.703Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.67 under the IQM model: 58.74%

EV -1.91%Edge -1.14%Kelly -2.84%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indiana Fever (Visit)

2.2045.45%Min
2.3043.39%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3542.55%Max
40.48%2.471Min
42.31%2.364Max
41.21%2.426Mean
41.28%2.422Median
41.26%2.424IQM
41.26%2.423Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 41.26%

EV -3.04%Edge -1.29%Kelly -2.25%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLas Vegas Aces (Local) ▼Indiana Fever (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -1.91% E -1.14% K -2.84% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 13:59
Bovada1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -1.91% E -1.14% K -2.84% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 14:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 06:10
BetUS1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 14:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.54%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.46%EV -3.86% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 14:20
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.54%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.46%EV -3.86% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetAnything1.65I 60.61% NM 58.54%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.46%EV -3.86% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 14:15
DraftKings1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 13:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Caesars1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 13:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 04:50
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.08% E -1.87% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:05
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98% NM 58.69%EV -3.67% E -2.24% K -5.73% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.31%EV -3.86% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 13:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -3.67% E -2.24% K -5.73% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -6.34% E -2.79% K -4.99% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:24
FanDuel1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -4.25% E -2.61% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -5.93% E -2.60% K -4.63% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:40
SportsBet1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -4.25% E -2.61% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.84% E -2.99% K -7.81% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 13:39
TAB1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.84% E -2.99% K -7.81% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Betway1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:40
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 05:30
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 05:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 05:29
Coolbet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.61%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.39%EV -5.93% E -2.60% K -4.63% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:20
Bet Right1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -5.43% E -3.37% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -9.23% E -4.19% K -7.69% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:49
Unibet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:55
TABtouch1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:00
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.04% E -1.29% K -2.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:49
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:19
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.02% E -3.76% K -10.03% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:20
ReBet1.59I 62.89% NM 59.34%EV -6.60% E -4.15% K -11.19% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -4.28% E -1.84% K -3.24% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.60% E -4.15% K -11.19% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.78% E -4.95% K -13.65% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -5.10% E -2.22% K -3.92% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 13:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.78% E -4.95% K -13.65% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 03:18
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 58.36%EV -7.78% E -4.95% K -13.65% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.64%EV -9.23% E -4.19% K -7.69% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.80%EV -7.78% E -4.95% K -13.65% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.20%EV -11.29% E -5.25% K -9.82% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 04:30
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52% NM 59.21%EV -8.95% E -5.78% K -16.28% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.79%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 13:39
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36% NM 59.52%EV -10.13% E -6.62% K -19.11% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.48%EV -7.16% E -3.18% K -5.73% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLas Vegas Aces (Local)Indiana Fever (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%2.33I 42.92%1.1%2026-07-05 14:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%2.38I 42.02%1.2%2026-07-05 10:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%2.38I 42.02%1.2%2026-07-05 04:45
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%2.36I 42.37%1.2%2026-07-05 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%2.34I 42.74%1.6%2026-07-05 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%2.34I 42.74%1.6%2026-07-05 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%2.34I 42.74%1.6%2026-07-05 13:10
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%2.34I 42.74%1.9%2026-07-05 13:50