La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 57.37%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.47%57.42%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.651.7064.52%60.53%60.42%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Indiana Fever (Visitante)
Predicción 42.63%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.848%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.53%42.58%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.242.252.3047.17%44.57%44.44%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 22:58 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.62%E -4.54%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -11.08%E -7.15%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |