L’École des cotes

Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 23:06 UTC

Score final : Las Vegas Aces 68–84 Indiana Fever

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prévision 57.37%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%57.47%57.42%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.651.651.7064.52%60.53%60.42%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Indiana Fever (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.63%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.848%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.53%42.58%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.242.252.3047.17%44.57%44.44%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 22:58
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:00
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 23:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:00
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:59
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:59
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 22:59
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 23:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 22:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 22:59
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 22:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 22:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 23:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.62%E -4.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 22:59
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -11.08%E -7.15%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-07-05 23:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-07-05 23:00
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%5.9%2026-07-05 23:00