A Escola das Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-07-05 23:06 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 68–84 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 57.37%1.74odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.47%57.42%58.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.651.651.7064.52%60.53%60.42%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 42.63%2.35odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.848%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%42.53%42.58%43.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.122.242.252.3047.17%44.57%44.44%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 22:58
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:00
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 23:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 23:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 22:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:00
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 23:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:59
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:59
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.77%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 22:59
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 23:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 22:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 22:59
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 22:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 22:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 23:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.848%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 23:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.62%E -4.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 22:59
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -11.08%E -7.15%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.21%E -2.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-07-05 23:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-05 23:00
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-07-05 23:00
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%5.9%2026-07-05 23:00