Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Fever v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 111–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 70.45%1.42fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.50%70.50%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.361.3978.13%74.21%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV +0.483%
Edge +0.142%
Kelly +0.201%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.50%29.50%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.87%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 70.45%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 29.55%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.483%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-27 23:49
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 20:29
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 23:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.06%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 23:50
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.08%E -1.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 23:10
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 23:20
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 23:10
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 23:49
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 06:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:40
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-27 23:50
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-27 23:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-27 23:40