L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Los Angeles Sparks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 111–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 70.45%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -5.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.50%70.50%72.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.351.361.3978.13%74.21%73.53%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Sparks (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.483%
Avantage +0.142%
Kelly +0.201%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.66%29.50%29.50%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.87%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-27 23:49
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 23:39
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 20:29
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 23:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 22:39
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.06%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 23:50
Betway1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.08%E -1.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 22:40
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 23:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 23:10
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 14:20
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 13:29
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 23:20
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 14:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 23:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 23:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 06:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:40
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-27 23:50
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-27 23:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-27 23:40