A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 111–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 70.45%1.42odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -5.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%70.50%70.50%72.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.351.361.3978.13%74.21%73.53%71.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 29.55%3.38odd justa
EV +0.483%
Vantagem +0.142%
Kelly +0.201%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%29.50%29.50%31.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.87%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-27 23:49
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 23:39
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 20:29
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 23:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 22:39
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.06%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 23:50
Betway1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.08%E -1.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 22:40
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 23:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 23:10
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 14:20
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 13:29
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 23:20
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 14:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 23:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 23:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 06:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:40
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-27 23:50
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-27 23:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-27 23:40