La escuela de los momios

Indiana Fever v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 111–87 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Predicción 70.45%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -5.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.50%70.50%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.361.3978.13%74.21%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.483%
Ventaja +0.142%
Kelly +0.201%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.50%29.50%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.87%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.483%E +0.142%K +0.201%G +0.001%6.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-27 23:49
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 23:39
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.994%E -0.297%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 22:49
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 20:29
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 23:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 22:39
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 23:00
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.06%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 23:50
Betway1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.08%E -1.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-27 22:40
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 23:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 23:09
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 23:10
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 14:20
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 13:29
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 23:20
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 14:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 23:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 23:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 06:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:29
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.78%E -2.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.49%E -2.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 23:40
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-27 23:50
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-27 23:39
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-27 23:40