The School of Odds

Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries

2026-07-16 00:10 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 51.35%1.95fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.68%51.49%51.07%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.8756%54%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.51%48.93%49.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0054%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 03:34
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 03:34
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 03:34
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 03:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 06:40
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 04:47
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 04:54
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 04:00
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 03:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 06:19
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 03:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 03:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 03:34
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-14 03:34
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-14 04:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 04:09
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 03:34
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 03:34
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 03:34
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 03:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 03:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 03:34
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 06:19
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-14 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-14 06:54
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-14 07:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.54%9.6%2026-07-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.54%9.6%2026-07-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.54%9.6%2026-07-14 07:59