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Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 57.02%1.75fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%56.89%56.85%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7562.50%59.66%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 42.98%2.33fair odd
EV +0.993%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.736%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%43.11%43.15%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.43%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 57.02%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 42.98%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.993%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.993%E +0.423%K +0.736%G +0.007% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.59%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 23:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 23:50 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 23:35 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.208%E -0.119%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.90%E -5.80%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11% | 4.0% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 4.9% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |