A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-07-16 00:10 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 57.02%1.75odd justa
EV -0.208%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.277%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%56.89%56.85%59.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.671.7562.50%59.66%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 42.98%2.33odd justa
EV +0.993%
Vantagem +0.423%
Kelly +0.736%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.81%43.11%43.15%46.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.43%45.45%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.993%E +0.423%K +0.736%G +0.007%4.3%2026-07-15 23:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-15 23:59
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-15 23:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 00:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 00:00
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.59%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 23:55
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 23:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 00:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 23:59
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 00:05
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 23:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 00:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 00:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 00:00
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 23:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 23:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 23:59
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 00:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 23:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 00:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 00:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 23:35
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.208%E -0.119%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.90%E -5.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-16 00:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-16 00:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-16 00:00
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%4.0%2026-07-16 00:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%4.9%2026-07-16 00:05