La escuela de los momiosIndiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Indiana Fever (Local)
Predicción 57.02%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.208%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.277%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%56.89%56.85%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.671.7562.50%59.66%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 42.98%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.993%
Ventaja +0.423%
Kelly +0.736%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%43.11%43.15%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.43%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.993%E +0.423%K +0.736%G +0.007% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.59%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 23:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 23:50 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 23:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 23:35 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.208%E -0.119%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.90%E -5.80%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-16 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11% | 4.0% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 4.9% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |