L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-16 00:10 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 57.02%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.208%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.277%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%56.89%56.85%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.671.7562.50%59.66%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Golden State Valkyries (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.98%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.993%
Avantage +0.423%
Kelly +0.736%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%43.11%43.15%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.43%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.993%E +0.423%K +0.736%G +0.007%4.3%2026-07-15 23:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-15 23:59
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-15 23:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 00:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.16%E -0.502%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 00:00
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.59%E -0.692%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 23:55
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.44%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 00:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 00:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 23:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 00:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 23:59
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 00:05
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.31%E -2.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 23:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 00:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 00:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.60%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 00:00
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.03%E -3.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 23:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 23:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 23:59
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.76%E -5.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.89%E -4.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 00:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.35%E -0.779%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 23:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 00:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 00:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.75%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 23:35
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.208%E -0.119%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.90%E -5.80%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-16 00:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-07-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-16 00:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-16 00:00
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%4.0%2026-07-16 00:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%4.9%2026-07-16 00:05