The School of Odds

Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun

2026-07-23 00:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 80.99%1.23fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -14.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.75%81.14%80.91%83.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2088%85%85%83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV +8.38%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.149%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.86%19.09%21.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.904.905.7023%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.87%E -5.97%K -45.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +8.38%E +1.47%K +1.78%G +0.149%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.177%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 00:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.177%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.87%E -5.97%K -45.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.177%E -0.034%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.44%E -3.76%K -24.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:25
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.44%E -3.76%K -24.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 22:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 22:20
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.68%E -6.73%K -54.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.93%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 00:00
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 19:05
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.44%E -3.76%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 23:00
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:00
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 22:25
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.06%E -5.22%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 22:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.06%E -5.22%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.83%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.82%E -2.35%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -8.16%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 19:05
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.82%E -2.35%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -8.16%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.44%E -3.76%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:40
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.44%E -3.76%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:40
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.06%E -5.22%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.63%E -3.05%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.68%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:04
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.25%E -4.48%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.44%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 13:30
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -7.68%E -6.73%K -54.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -14.44%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 22:40
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -6.06%E -5.22%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -18.24%E -4.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-07-20 22:25
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-07-21 00:05
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%2.8%2026-07-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-07-20 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-07-20 23:15