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Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 81.17%1.23fair odd
EV -0.968%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.29%81.23%81.34%83.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.53%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 18.83%5.31fair odd
EV +12.96%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.59%
Growth +0.336%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%18.77%18.66%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.874.856.0023.81%20.53%20.62%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 81.17%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 18.83%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336% | 2.9% | 2026-07-23 00:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336% | 2.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +9.19%E +1.58%K +1.92%G +0.176% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -8.27%E -7.32%K -63.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +8.25%E +1.43%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.221%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 23:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 22:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.10%E -0.404%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -3.04%E -0.591%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -3.99%E -0.782%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -4.17%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.09%E -8.11%K -75.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -8.32%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -20.93%E -4.98%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40% | 1.7% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |