La escuela de los momiosIndiana Fever v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Indiana Fever (Local)
Predicción 81.17%1.23momio equitativo
EV -0.968%
Ventaja -0.794%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.29%81.23%81.34%83.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.53%84.75%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 18.83%5.31momio equitativo
EV +12.96%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +2.59%
Crecimiento +0.336%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.20%18.77%18.66%21.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.874.856.0023.81%20.53%20.62%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336% | 2.9% | 2026-07-23 00:03 |
| betano_uk | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336% | 2.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +9.19%E +1.58%K +1.92%G +0.176% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -8.27%E -7.32%K -63.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +8.25%E +1.43%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.221%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 23:38 |
| BetMGM | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 22:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.10%E -0.404%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:53 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -3.04%E -0.591%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -3.99%E -0.782%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -4.17%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.09%E -8.11%K -75.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -8.32%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| ReBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:54 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -20.93%E -4.98%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40% | 1.7% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |