Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-07-23 00:08 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 123–88 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 81.17%1.23odd justa
EV -0.968%
Vantagem -0.794%
Kelly -4.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.29%81.23%81.34%83.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.53%84.75%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 18.83%5.31odd justa
EV +12.96%
Vantagem +2.16%
Kelly +2.59%
Crescimento +0.336%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.20%18.77%18.66%21.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.874.856.0023.81%20.53%20.62%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 81.17%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 18.83%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.31. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336%2.9%2026-07-23 00:03
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336%2.9%2026-07-23 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +9.19%E +1.58%K +1.92%G +0.176%4.2%2026-07-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -8.27%E -7.32%K -63.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +8.25%E +1.43%K +1.74%G +0.143%5.9%2026-07-23 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.221%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 23:38
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:13
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.10%E -0.404%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:53
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -3.04%E -0.591%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -3.99%E -0.782%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -4.17%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:59
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:39
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 00:00
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 22:14
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.09%E -8.11%K -75.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -8.32%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:15
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 22:14
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:15
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:44
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:44
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 23:10
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 23:54
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -20.93%E -4.98%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-23 00:00
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40%1.7%2026-07-23 00:05
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-07-23 00:05
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-22 23:59