L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 00:08 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 123–88 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 81.17%1.23cote équitable
EV -0.968%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.29%81.23%81.34%83.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.53%84.75%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.83%5.31cote équitable
EV +12.96%
Avantage +2.16%
Kelly +2.59%
Croissance +0.336%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.20%18.77%18.66%21.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.874.856.0023.81%20.53%20.62%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336%2.9%2026-07-23 00:03
betano_uk1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +12.96%E +2.16%K +2.59%G +0.336%2.9%2026-07-23 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +9.19%E +1.58%K +1.92%G +0.176%4.2%2026-07-23 00:04
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -8.27%E -7.32%K -63.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +8.25%E +1.43%K +1.74%G +0.143%5.9%2026-07-23 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.54%E +0.644%K +0.788%G +0.028%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.221%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 23:38
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:13
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.10%E -0.404%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:53
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -3.04%E -0.591%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 23:49
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.46%E -6.55%K -53.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -3.99%E -0.782%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -4.17%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:59
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:39
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 23:39
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:39
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 00:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:39
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 22:14
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.09%E -8.11%K -75.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -7.75%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -8.32%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:15
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -8.69%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 22:14
ReBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.63%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:15
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 22:04
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:44
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.40%E -2.86%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.58%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:44
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 23:04
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 23:10
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.22%E -3.57%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 23:54
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.59%E -2.16%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:00
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -0.968%E -0.794%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:59
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 23:59
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.78%E -1.47%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.16%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 00:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -20.93%E -4.98%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-07-23 00:00
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40%1.7%2026-07-23 00:05
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-07-23 00:05
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-22 23:59