Language:English
Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Wings (Local)
Prediction 79.96%1.25fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%80.30%79.83%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.17%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 20.04%4.99fair odd
EV +12.24%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.326%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.70%20.17%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.774.755.6023.81%20.96%21.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 79.96%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 20.04%. For Phoenix Mercury (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 16:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +10.24%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.233% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +8.23%E +1.52%K +1.87%G +0.154% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.22%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -3.19%E -0.661%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -10.61%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.21%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.82%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |