Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prévision 79.96%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -11.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.49%80.30%79.83%82.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.17%84.03%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.04%4.99cote équitable
EV +12.24%
Avantage +2.19%
Kelly +2.66%
Croissance +0.326%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%19.70%20.17%22.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.774.755.6023.81%20.96%21.05%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dallas Wings (Local) : 79.96% ; Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur) : 20.04%. Pour Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.99. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +12.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326%2.6%2026-09-19 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326%2.6%2026-09-19 16:48
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +10.24%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.233%5.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +8.23%E +1.52%K +1.87%G +0.154%4.0%2026-09-19 16:59
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.22%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.8%2026-09-19 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:39
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:44
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -3.19%E -0.661%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:39
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:59
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:35
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:33
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:59
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:59
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:35
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 15:31
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -10.61%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:34
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.21%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:58
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:59
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.82%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-09-19 16:49
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.4%2026-09-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:45
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-09-19 17:00