預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury

開賽時間: 2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

47 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Dallas Wings (主隊)

預測 79.96%1.25公平賠率
EV -2.45%
優勢 -2.01%
Kelly -11.15%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.22

博彩公司預測分布
77.49%80.30%79.83%82.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.17%84.03%81.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客隊)

預測 20.04%4.99公平賠率
EV +12.24%
優勢 +2.19%
Kelly +2.66%
成長率 +0.326%

假設最高賠率為 5.60

博彩公司預測分布
17.17%19.70%20.17%22.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.774.755.6023.81%20.96%21.05%17.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Dallas Wings (主隊):79.96%;Phoenix Mercury (客隊):20.04%。 對於「Phoenix Mercury (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.99的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.60,對應+12.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (47 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326%2.6%2026-09-19 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +12.24%E +2.19%K +2.66%G +0.326%2.6%2026-09-19 16:48
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +10.24%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.233%5.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +8.23%E +1.52%K +1.87%G +0.154%4.0%2026-09-19 16:59
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.22%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.8%2026-09-19 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:39
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:44
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.214%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.79%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -3.19%E -0.661%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:54
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.790%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:54
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:39
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:59
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.80%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:35
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:33
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.80%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:59
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.39%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:59
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:35
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 15:31
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -10.61%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:34
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.21%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:58
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -13.82%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:59
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -15.82%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:39
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-19 16:39
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-09-19 16:49
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.4%2026-09-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-09-19 16:45
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-09-19 17:00