The School of Odds

Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 23:38 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 80–86 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.57%26.68%28.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.03%27.78%26.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 73.31%1.36fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -10.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.43%73.32%74.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.35%77.52%75.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 23:33
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 23:35
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -0.196%E -0.052%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.62%E -6.05%K -29.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.26%E -0.342%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:29
BetUS3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.13%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:31
Pinnacle3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.40%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 23:31
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:34
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:29
Betr (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LowVig.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:31
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:28
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:29
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:35
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -9.82%E -7.99%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-08 23:35
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35