The School of Odds

Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx

2026-07-08 23:30 — WNBA

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Option 1: Connecticut Sun (Local)

3.7526.67%Min
4.2423.56%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.6021.74%Max
20.69%4.833Min
25.20%3.969Max
22.46%4.453Mean
22.16%4.512Median
22.28%4.489IQM
22.40%4.465Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.60 under the IQM model: 22.28%

EV +2.47%Edge +0.538%Kelly +0.687%Growth +0.017%

Option 2: Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

1.1586.96%Min
1.2281.98%Mean
1.2281.97%Median
1.2878.13%Max
74.80%1.337Min
79.31%1.261Max
77.54%1.290Mean
77.84%1.285Median
77.72%1.287IQM
77.60%1.289Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.28 under the IQM model: 77.72%

EV -0.514%Edge -0.402%Kelly -1.84%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerConnecticut Sun (Local) ▼Minnesota Lynx (Visit)MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag5.10I 19.61% NM 18.66%EV +13.61% E +2.67% K +3.32% G +0.452%1.17I 85.47% NM 81.34%EV -9.06% E -7.75% K -53.32% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 02:54
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
Unibet4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
BetRivers4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
TABtouch4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
betPARX4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:00
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:55
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:54
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74% NM 20.69%EV +2.47% E +0.538% K +0.687% G +0.017%1.20I 83.33% NM 79.31%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:54
DraftKings4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV +0.246% E +0.055% K +0.070% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 17:44
GTbets4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV +0.246% E +0.055% K +0.070% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 17:10
Betway4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV +0.246% E +0.055% K +0.070% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 15:00
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22% NM 21.05%EV +0.246% E +0.055% K +0.070% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 78.95%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 14:50
Caesars4.45I 22.47% NM 21.52%EV -0.868% E -0.195% K -0.252% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.48%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 17:45
Fanatics4.40I 22.73% NM 21.71%EV -1.98% E -0.450% K -0.583% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.29%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:10
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73% NM 21.71%EV -1.98% E -0.450% K -0.583% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 78.29%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 17:44
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99% NM 20.91%EV -3.10% E -0.712% K -0.924% G +0.000%1.15I 86.96% NM 79.09%EV -10.62% E -9.23% K -70.79% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-07 14:54
NordicBet4.30I 23.26% NM 21.82%EV -4.21% E -0.979% K -1.28% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 78.18%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 15:00
Betsson4.30I 23.26% NM 21.82%EV -4.21% E -0.979% K -1.28% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 78.18%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 15:00
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53% NM 22.30%EV -5.32% E -1.25% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 77.70%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 17:45
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81% NM 22.79%EV -6.44% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.24I 80.65% NM 77.21%EV -3.62% E -2.92% K -15.10% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 17:45
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81% NM 22.65%EV -6.44% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.23I 81.30% NM 77.35%EV -4.40% E -3.58% K -19.13% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:24
888sport4.20I 23.81% NM 22.51%EV -6.44% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 77.49%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:45
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81% NM 22.51%EV -6.44% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 77.49%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:45
ReBet4.20I 23.81% NM 22.22%EV -6.44% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 77.78%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 17:45
1xBet4.17I 23.98% NM 23.06%EV -7.11% E -1.70% K -2.24% G +0.000%1.25I 80.00% NM 76.94%EV -2.85% E -2.28% K -11.38% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:44
Bet Right4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -8.67% E -2.11% K -2.80% G +0.000%1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -3.62% E -2.92% K -15.10% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 15:24
Fliff4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -8.67% E -2.11% K -2.80% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 17:25
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39% NM 22.64%EV -8.67% E -2.11% K -2.80% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 77.36%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 17:45
BetMGM4.00I 25.00% NM 24.10%EV -10.89% E -2.72% K -3.63% G +0.000%1.27I 78.74% NM 75.90%EV -1.29% E -1.02% K -4.78% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 15:09
TAB4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -10.89% E -2.72% K -3.63% G +0.000%1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -3.62% E -2.92% K -15.10% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.52%EV -10.89% E -2.72% K -3.63% G +0.000%1.23I 81.30% NM 76.48%EV -4.40% E -3.58% K -19.13% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 16:05
SportsBet3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -12.01% E -3.04% K -4.07% G +0.000%1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -3.62% E -2.92% K -15.10% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 17:24
FanDuel3.90I 25.64% NM 24.42%EV -13.12% E -3.36% K -4.52% G +0.000%1.26I 79.37% NM 75.58%EV -2.07% E -1.64% K -7.96% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 17:25
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64% NM 23.53%EV -13.12% E -3.36% K -4.52% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 76.47%EV -6.73% E -5.61% K -33.66% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 17:44
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64% NM 23.38%EV -13.12% E -3.36% K -4.52% G +0.000%1.19I 84.03% NM 76.62%EV -7.51% E -6.31% K -39.52% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 17:44
Bovada3.85I 25.97% NM 24.80%EV -14.23% E -3.70% K -4.99% G +0.000%1.27I 78.74% NM 75.20%EV -1.29% E -1.02% K -4.78% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 15:21
Neds3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -15.35% E -4.04% K -5.48% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -0.514% E -0.402% K -1.84% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -15.35% E -4.04% K -5.48% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -0.514% E -0.402% K -1.84% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32% NM 24.30%EV -15.35% E -4.04% K -5.48% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 75.70%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 15:08
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67% NM 24.55%EV -16.46% E -4.39% K -5.99% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 75.45%EV -5.18% E -4.24% K -23.53% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerConnecticut Sun (Local)Minnesota Lynx (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig4.44I 22.52% NM 22.24%1.27I 78.74% NM 77.76%1.3%2026-07-07 16:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98% NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13% NM 76.51%2.1%2026-07-07 16:55
Polymarket3.91I 25.58% NM 24.95%1.30I 76.92% NM 75.05%2.5%2026-07-07 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50% NM 31.16%1.24I 80.65% NM 68.84%17.1%2026-07-07 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01% NM 55.11%1.24I 80.65% NM 44.89%79.7%2026-07-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01% NM 55.11%1.24I 80.65% NM 44.89%79.7%2026-07-07 17:40
Arbitrage (20 combinations) +0.14%Unibet (NL) 4.60 (21.8%) / Neds 1.28 (78.2%)Show all 20 combinations
Connecticut Sun (Local)Minnesota Lynx (Visit)Margin
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (20.1%)Neds 1.28 (79.9%)+2.32%
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (20.1%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (79.9%)+2.32%
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (19.9%)BetMGM 1.27 (80.1%)+1.68%
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (19.9%)Bovada 1.27 (80.1%)+1.68%
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (19.8%)FanDuel 1.26 (80.2%)+1.04%
MyBookie.ag 5.10 (19.7%)1xBet 1.25 (80.3%)+0.394%
Unibet (NL) 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Unibet (NL) 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Unibet 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Unibet 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
BetRivers 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
BetRivers 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
LeoVegas (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
LeoVegas (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
TABtouch 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
TABtouch 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
betPARX 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
betPARX 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Svenska Spel 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Svenska Spel 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Bally Bet 4.60 (21.8%)Neds 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%
Bally Bet 4.60 (21.8%)Ladbrokes (AU) 1.28 (78.2%)+0.136%