L’École des cotes

Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 23:38 UTC

Score final : Connecticut Sun 80–86 Minnesota Lynx

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.370%
Kelly +0.502%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%26.57%26.68%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.03%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Lynx (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.31%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -10.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.43%73.32%74.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.35%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 23:33
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 23:35
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -0.196%E -0.052%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.62%E -6.05%K -29.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.26%E -0.342%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:29
BetUS3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.13%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:31
Pinnacle3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.40%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 23:31
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:34
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:29
Betr (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LowVig.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:31
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:28
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:29
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:35
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -9.82%E -7.99%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-08 23:35
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35