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Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.370%
Kelly +0.502%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.57%26.68%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.03%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)
Predicción 73.31%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -10.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.43%73.32%74.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.35%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Connecticut Sun (Local): 26.69%; Minnesota Lynx (Visitante): 73.31%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.75. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 23:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -0.196%E -0.052%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.62%E -6.05%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.26%E -0.342%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.13%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 23:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.40%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 23:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 23:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -9.82%E -7.99%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-08 23:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 23:35 |