A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-07-08 23:38 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 80–86 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 26.69%3.75odd justa
EV +1.40%
Vantagem +0.370%
Kelly +0.502%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.20%26.57%26.68%28.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.573.603.8030.77%28.03%27.78%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 73.31%1.36odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -2.44%
Kelly -10.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%73.43%73.32%74.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.35%77.52%75.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 23:33
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.40%E +0.370%K +0.502%G +0.007%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 23:35
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -0.196%E -0.052%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.62%E -6.05%K -29.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.26%E -0.342%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:34
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:35
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.60%E -0.712%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:29
BetUS3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.13%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:31
Pinnacle3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.40%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 23:31
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:35
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:34
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 23:29
Betr (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LowVig.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:34
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:31
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:28
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:29
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.22%E -2.44%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:35
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -9.82%E -7.99%K -42.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-08 23:35
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 23:34
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.42%E -4.20%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 23:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-08 23:35
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-08 23:35