Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 56.99%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 43.01%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.82%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -12.23%E -7.94%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +11.82%E +4.55%K +7.39%G +0.874% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.22%E +1.34%K +2.30%G +0.074% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:53 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-15 15:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |