A Escola das Odds

Chicago Sky v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 95–90 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 56.99%1.75odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%57.22%56.94%62.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.661.671.7264.94%60.17%59.88%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 43.01%2.33odd justa
EV +11.82%
Vantagem +4.55%
Kelly +7.39%
Crescimento +0.874%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.20%42.78%43.06%45.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.212.6047.62%44.88%45.35%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -12.23%E -7.94%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +11.82%E +4.55%K +7.39%G +0.874%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.22%E +1.34%K +2.30%G +0.074%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 15:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 15:59
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 16:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 15:54
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 15:54
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 15:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 16:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:59
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:53
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 15:59
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 15:54
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 15:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 15:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 15:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:59
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 15:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-15 16:00
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 15:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:54
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:54
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 16:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 15:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 15:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 15:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-15 15:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-07-15 16:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-15 16:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-15 16:00