La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chicago Sky v Seattle Storm
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Sky (Local)
Predicción 56.99%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%57.22%56.94%62.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.661.671.7264.94%60.17%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Storm (Visitante)
Predicción 43.01%2.33momio equitativo
EV +11.82%
Ventaja +4.55%
Kelly +7.39%
Crecimiento +0.874%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.20%42.78%43.06%45.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.212.6047.62%44.88%45.35%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -12.23%E -7.94%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +11.82%E +4.55%K +7.39%G +0.874% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.22%E +1.34%K +2.30%G +0.074% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:53 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-15 15:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-15 15:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-15 16:00 |