L’École des cotes

Chicago Sky v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC

Score final : Chicago Sky 95–90 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prévision 56.99%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%57.22%56.94%62.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.661.671.7264.94%60.17%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.01%2.33cote équitable
EV +11.82%
Avantage +4.55%
Kelly +7.39%
Croissance +0.874%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.20%42.78%43.06%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.212.6047.62%44.88%45.35%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -12.23%E -7.94%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +11.82%E +4.55%K +7.39%G +0.874%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.22%E +1.34%K +2.30%G +0.074%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 15:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.08%E -0.469%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 16:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 15:59
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 16:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 15:54
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 15:54
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 15:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 16:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:59
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:53
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 15:59
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-15 15:54
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 15:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 15:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 15:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:59
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 15:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-15 16:00
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 15:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:54
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:54
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 16:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 15:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 15:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.98%E -1.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-15 15:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-15 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-15 16:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-15 15:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-07-15 16:00
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-07-15 16:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-15 16:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-15 16:00