Language:English
Atlanta Dream v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 83.76%1.19fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -17.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%83.83%83.81%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.89%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 16.24%6.16fair odd
EV +5.56%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%16.17%16.19%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.755.786.5021.05%17.40%17.32%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 83.76%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 16.24%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056% | 3.1% | 2026-07-09 23:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +1.50%E +0.240%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 23:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.59%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.681%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.70%E -7.98%K -96.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-09 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -16.36%E -3.18%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -22.86%E -4.81%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-10 00:00 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.