默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream v Seattle Storm

开赛时间: 2026-07-10 00:03 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Dream 89–78 Seattle Storm

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream (主队)

预测 83.76%1.19公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -17.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.16

博彩公司预测分布
80.65%83.83%83.81%85.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.89%87.72%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Storm (客队)

预测 16.24%6.16公平赔率
EV +5.56%
优势 +0.855%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.056%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.59%16.17%16.19%19.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.755.786.5021.05%17.40%17.32%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Dream (主队):83.76%;Seattle Storm (客队):16.24%。 对于“Seattle Storm (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.16。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.50,对应+5.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%3.1%2026-07-09 23:58
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%5.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +1.50%E +0.240%K +0.286%G +0.004%4.5%2026-07-09 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 00:00
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 23:59
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.59%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.681%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:58
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:00
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:00
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:57
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.70%E -7.98%K -96.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-09 23:59
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -16.36%E -3.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -22.86%E -4.81%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 00:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-07-10 00:00
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-10 00:00