A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Dream v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-10 00:03 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 89–78 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 83.76%1.19odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -17.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.65%83.83%83.81%85.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.89%87.72%86.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 16.24%6.16odd justa
EV +5.56%
Vantagem +0.855%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.59%16.17%16.19%19.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.755.786.5021.05%17.40%17.32%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%3.1%2026-07-09 23:58
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%5.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +1.50%E +0.240%K +0.286%G +0.004%4.5%2026-07-09 23:59
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 00:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:53
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 23:59
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.59%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.681%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 23:59
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:58
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:59
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:00
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:58
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:57
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.70%E -7.98%K -96.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-09 23:59
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -16.36%E -3.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -22.86%E -4.81%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-07-10 00:00
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-10 00:00