L’École des cotes

Atlanta Dream v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 00:03 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Dream 89–78 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prévision 83.76%1.19cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -17.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.65%83.83%83.81%85.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.89%87.72%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.24%6.16cote équitable
EV +5.56%
Avantage +0.855%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.59%16.17%16.19%19.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.755.786.5021.05%17.40%17.32%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%3.1%2026-07-09 23:58
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%5.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +1.50%E +0.240%K +0.286%G +0.004%4.5%2026-07-09 23:59
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 00:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:53
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 23:59
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.59%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.681%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 23:59
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:58
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:59
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:00
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 00:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:00
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.43%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:58
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV -7.59%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:00
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:57
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:59
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 00:00
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.70%E -7.98%K -96.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-09 23:59
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -16.36%E -3.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:00
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.51%E -3.96%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -22.86%E -4.81%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-10 00:00
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-07-10 00:00
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-07-10 00:00
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-07-10 00:00