The School of Odds

Atlanta Dream v Los Angeles Sparks

2026-07-13 23:10 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 73.00%1.37fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -8.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%72.91%73.12%73.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3378%77%77%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.543%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.09%26.88%29.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.503.6532%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 04:44
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:49
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:09
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:09
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 06:09
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 02:24
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 04:44
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 05:34
Caesars1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 05:36
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 02:18
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 02:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 02:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 02:09
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 04:49
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 04:48
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 04:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 04:44
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -14.94%E -4.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 04:49
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.44%E -0.394%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 04:54
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 04:54
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.27%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 04:49
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-12 05:30
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%3.2%2026-07-12 08:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%7.6%2026-07-12 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%7.6%2026-07-12 08:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%8.1%2026-07-12 08:14