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Atlanta Dream v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 76.36%1.31fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -8.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.92%76.48%76.26%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.251.251.2884.03%80.19%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV +4.00%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%23.52%23.74%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.014.004.4027.78%24.97%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 76.36%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 23.64%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.00%E +0.910%K +1.18%G +0.047% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017% | 3.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017% | 3.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.725%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -5.22%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.07%E -4.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:58 |
| Caesars | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 22:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -9.13%E -7.67%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |