La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atlanta Dream v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 76.36%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -8.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.92%76.48%76.26%78.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.251.251.2884.03%80.19%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV +4.00%
Ventaja +0.910%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.43%23.52%23.74%26.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.004.4027.78%24.97%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.00%E +0.910%K +1.18%G +0.047% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017% | 3.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017% | 3.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.725%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -5.22%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.07%E -4.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 22:58 |
| Caesars | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 22:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -9.13%E -7.67%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-07-13 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-13 23:00 |