L’École des cotes

Atlanta Dream v Los Angeles Sparks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-13 23:02 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Dream 101–92 Los Angeles Sparks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prévision 76.36%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -8.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.92%76.48%76.26%78.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.251.251.2884.03%80.19%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Sparks (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.64%4.23cote équitable
EV +4.00%
Avantage +0.910%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.43%23.52%23.74%26.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.4027.78%24.97%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.00%E +0.910%K +1.18%G +0.047%6.1%2026-07-13 22:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-13 22:59
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-13 22:59
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%5.2%2026-07-13 23:00
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.725%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 23:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-13 23:00
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-13 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-13 22:59
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -5.22%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 22:59
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 22:59
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 23:00
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 23:00
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 22:59
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.07%E -4.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 22:59
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:58
Caesars1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 22:58
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -9.13%E -7.67%K -48.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 23:00
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 23:00
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 22:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-13 23:00
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.4%2026-07-13 23:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-07-13 22:59
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-13 23:00