Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-07-13 23:02 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 101–92 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 76.36%1.31odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -8.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.92%76.48%76.26%78.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.251.251.2884.03%80.19%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 23.64%4.23odd justa
EV +4.00%
Vantagem +0.910%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.43%23.52%23.74%26.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.014.004.4027.78%24.97%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Dream (Local): 76.36%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 23.64%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.23. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.00%E +0.910%K +1.18%G +0.047%6.1%2026-07-13 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-13 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +2.35%E +0.542%K +0.705%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-13 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%5.2%2026-07-13 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.725%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-13 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-13 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-13 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -5.22%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 22:59
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 22:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 23:00
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 23:00
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.07%E -4.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.36%E -6.97%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 22:59
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.31%E -4.28%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.78%E -3.00%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 22:58
Caesars🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 22:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -9.13%E -7.67%K -48.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 23:00
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 23:00
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.60%K -31.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-13 23:00
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-13 23:00
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.4%2026-07-13 23:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-07-13 22:59
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-13 23:00