Language:English
Atlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 54.61%1.83fair odd
EV +11.41%
Edge +5.59%
Kelly +10.97%
Growth +1.25%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%55.10%52.63%64.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.691.732.0470.42%59.30%57.80%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 45.39%2.20fair odd
EV +20.73%
Edge +7.79%
Kelly +12.49%
Growth +2.59%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.32%44.90%47.37%53.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.752.202.012.6657.14%45.36%49.75%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 54.61%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 45.39%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +20.73%E +7.79%K +12.49%G +2.59% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -21.36%E -14.83%K -48.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -22.45%E -15.81%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +17.10%E +6.63%K +10.82%G +1.85% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:02 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV +13.92%E +5.55%K +9.22%G +1.28% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.47%E +5.39%K +8.98%G +1.21% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +12.56%E +5.07%K +8.49%G +1.07% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +11.20%E +4.57%K +7.73%G +0.865% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.145%E -0.066%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -8.77%E -4.36%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.061%E -0.033%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV +6.49%E +3.33%K +6.83%G +0.444% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -13.31%E -6.97%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +3.76%E +1.98%K +4.18%G +0.157% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV +3.22%E +1.70%K +3.61%G +0.116% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -16.03%E -8.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV +1.03%E +0.558%K +1.21%G +0.013% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -18.30%E -10.17%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +11.41%E +5.59%K +10.97%G +1.25% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -20.12%E -11.43%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -20.57%E -11.75%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |